Week 9 NFL odds, picks, schedule, how to watch, streaming: Expert picks against the spread …

NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints

Week 9 in the NFL comes with a bunch of uncertainty, with at least half the league dealing with some type of COVID-19 issues. The 49ers were unable to overcome several key absences on Thursday, but other teams will try and fare better over the weekend. The Ravens and Colts have a huge AFC battle on tap for the early window, while the Saints and Buccaneers will welcome key pass-catchers like Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown into the fold for a Sunday night showdown.

Each week, we’ll collect all of the best picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine in one place, so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional feature content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best bets from our staff, survivor picks and more.

Enjoy our run-through of Week 9, and good luck in your games! All NFL odds via William Hill Sportsbook.

What picks can you make with confidence in Week 9? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,600 on its top-rated picks.

Seahawks at Bills

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Seahawks -1.5, O/U 54.5
Current: Seahawks -3, O/U 55

“Over the past four weeks, the Bills have been one of the worst teams in the NFL at stopping the run. As a matter of fact, since Week 5, the Bills have given up a total of 672 yards on the ground, which is an average of 168 yards per game. … Although the Seahawks haven’t been running the ball as often as they usually do because they’ve been letting Russ cook, don’t be fooled, this team can still run when they want to. The Seahawks are averaging five yards per carry this year, which is tied for the fifth-highest number in the NFL. Basically, I think the Seahawks are going to run up and down the field on Buffalo — both figuratively and literally — and the only reason this won’t be a blowout is because the Seahawks defense is terrible, which means the Bills should be able to keep things close.” — John Breech on why he has the Seahawks beating the Bills 34-27

Breech is 9-1 straight up with his lock of the week and is taking this game as that lock this week despite the low spread. See the rest of his picks in his Tuesday column.

Lions at Vikings

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Vikings -2.5, O/U 55
Current: OFF

“The Vikings won at Green Bay last week by doing it the old-fashioned way: pounding the football. They will try and do that here with Dalvin Cook and should be able to run it. The concern is the Minnesota defense. But I think they showed some improvement last week that will carry over here. Vikings win another.” — Pete Prisco on why he has the Vikings winning 28-23

Prisco is crushing his best bets on the Pick Six Podcast (which you can listen to below in a different game), but you can get all his final score predictions for Week 9 in his Wednesday column.

Giants at Washington

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Washington -3.5, O/U 43
Current: Washington -2.5, O/U 43

“Despite a 1-7 record, the Giants have kept games pretty competitive this season, owning a 5-3 ATS record heading into Week 9. They were even able to cover what was billed to be a blowout on Monday Night Football at the hands of the Buccaneers. While you have to give credit to head coach Joe Judge for keeping his team in these games, the talent level just isn’t there for me to trust them in this matchup. Washington has one of the best front sevens in the entire NFL and the Giants offensive line has struggled mightily to protect Daniel Jones. When Jones is under pressure, he’s bound to turn the ball over. In their previous matchup in Week 6, Washington wasn’t able to apply as much pressure as you’d hope, totaling one sack and five quarterback hits. With a bye week of rest and time to prepare, I think that swings in the other direction against a Giants team playing on a short week.” — Tyler Sullivan on why he’s making Washington one of his locks of the week

Sully nailed his first lock of the week with the Packers, and you can check out the rest of his locks and all his Week 9 picks in his Wednesday column.

Panthers at Chiefs

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Chiefs -10, O/U 50.5
Current: Chiefs -10.5, O/U 52.5

“The Chiefs don’t even really seem to be cranking at full steam on offense; they can kind of cruise and turn it on and turn it off when they want. But they’re still good for about 35 points a game. They can beat you so many different ways and the special teams continue to stand out as well. The Panthers have hit a little rough stretch. Their lack of talent in a key spot is apparent and as much good work as they did to start trying to fix that defense, they still have some significant issues to fill on the defensive line, particularly in the interior and also in their linebacking corps. Anytime you have instability in your spine as a defense, that’s a problem, and especially against an offense as good as the Chiefs. Christian McCaffrey missed a lot of time and I’m not sure he comes right back and starts dominating, particularly against this defense. I don’t see this as being a particularly close game.” — Jason La Canfora on why the Chiefs are one of his best bets this week

La Canfora has identified one more best bet for Week 9, and you can see which other side he loves by checking out his Friday column.

Texans at Jaguars

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Texans -7, O/U 51
Current: Texans -7, O/U 50.5

“The Texans’ lone cover this season actually came against the Jaguars earlier this year! I correctly picked that game, and I’m taking them to cover yet again. Jacksonville has lost all three of its last games by double digits, and rookie quarterback Jake Luton is slated to make his first career start in place of the injured Gardner Minshew. Since the start of last season, quarterbacks making their first career start are 12-5 against the spread — but that stat also includes the likes of players like Kyler Murray, Drew Lock and Justin Herbert. I’ll take the Texans to win by a touchdown.” — Jordan Dajani on why the Texans are one of his best bets

Dajani has crushed his ATS picks this season, going 67-46-3 since the start of the year. You can see his final score prediction for every game in his Thursday column.

Broncos at Falcons

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Falcons -3.5, O/U 47
Current: Falcons -4, O/U 50

“The Broncos had an unlikely comeback win against the Chargers last week. The Broncos came back from a 24-3 deficit to beat the Chargers 31-30 despite being outgained on the evening by over 130 yards. That’s strange, but it’s also something the Chargers are great at doing. In this spot, Denver is playing another team known for blowing leads, but I trust the Falcons here more than I would the Chargers. First of all, this game is in Atlanta, and secondly, Matt Ryan isn’t Justin Herbert. I’ve been impressed by Herbert and love his potential, but he is still a rookie. Ryan’s a proven vet going up against Drew Lock, who can be anything from amazing to awful on any given play. However, what’s incredible to me and one of the reasons I’m big on Atlanta is that the Broncos have covered five of their first seven games despite turning the ball over on 17.6% of their offensive possessions. They can’t keep getting that lucky playing so poorly.” — Tom Fornelli on why the Falcons are one of his best bets

Fornelli is 13-10-1 on his best bets so far this year, and his three-pack for Week 9 includes a team total he loves. Check out all of his best bets in his Thursday column.

Bears at Titans

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Titans -6.5, O/U 46.5
Current: Titans -6.5, O/U 47

“While the Titans are excelling on offense, with great third-down and red-zone numbers to go along with a great DVOA, the Bears can match them on each front, ranking sixth in DVOA and first in both third-down and red-zone success rate. And the absence of Taylor Lewan should make a difference against a team with a good pass rush on the edge. On the other side of the ball, the Titans’ defense is awful, especially on third down, where they have the worst success rate of any team through seven games in the last 30 years. The Bears offense isn’t good, but it’s good enough to have some success here and keep this one close, perhaps with a chance to win.” — R.J. White on why the Bears are part of his SuperContest suggested plays for Week 9

I’ve cashed twice in the Las Vegas SuperContest, widely considered the toughest sports gambling competition in the world. I’ve also hit on over 57% of my picks over the past five years combined. You can see all five of my Week 9 NFL picks against the SuperContest lines by heading to SportsLine, and use promo code WHITE to sign up for $1 for your first month of access to all SportsLine’s picks and analysis.

Ravens at Colts

Time: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Ravens -4, O/U 44
Current: Colts -1, O/U 48

“Is the wrong team favored here? I think that might be the case. The Ravens are a really good team, don’t get me wrong, and I would still back them to win the AFC North. But basically their entire defense is on the COVID list and this is a good Colts team! Philip Rivers is playing excellent football and while I’d have some worries about Jonathan Taylor missing this game and Indy being unable to run, I think they can attack with the shorter passing game and pull off the upset.” — Will Brinson on why he has the Colts winning 24-21

The Colts aren’t the only team Brinson is projecting to pull off an upset victory this week. Head over to his Friday column to see his final score predictions for every game.

Raiders at Chargers

Time: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Chargers -2.5, O/U 52.5
Current: Pick ’em, O/U 51.5

Will Brinson: “Kenny (White) likes the Over here! Kenny’s been talking about Unders all day long and he’s got two Overs, R.J. What do you think about this game?”

R.J. White: “I would lean to the Over too, and I would lean to Vegas as well. The Chargers have lost eight straight in the AFC West, they struggle at home and their last four have gone Over, so it seems like everything just lines up for those two picks. Vegas is a good Over team, they’re ranking fifth in points per drive on offense and 31st on defense. That’s a formula where you’re going to see a lot of points. My rating has a slight lean to Vegas, but the Chargers are the healthier team, so it’s just a stayaway for me at pick. This was at 1.5 Chargers but now it’s at pick, so the market is telling you that the Raiders are probably the right side.”

Brinson: “Yeah, I like the Raiders. Not quite a best bet, but I’m surprised at the Chargers love here. I think the Raiders are a better team. The Raiders are sort of undervalued — they were ‘dogs going into Cleveland, and I know that was a weird game with the wind and all, but there’s no reason to fade the Raiders in that spot. They try hard, Jon Gruden is doing a good job, the defense isn’t particularly good. I would lean toward the Over here as well.”

That’s from the Pick Six Podcast, where I join Pete Prisco, Kenny White and Will Brinson every Friday to break down all the games from a gambling perspective, give out best bets and put together a Pick Six Parlay, which has hit four times this season. Give it a listen below and subscribe for great NFL content in your feed daily.

Dolphins at Cardinals

Time: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Cardinals -6, O/U 47.5
Current: Cardinals -4.5, O/U 49

“I love Arizona. Last week, Tua Tagovailoa had under 100 yards passing and the Dolphins were outgained by a wide margin. Kyler Murray is much further along than Tua. The Cardinals should chew up this Dolphins’ defense. Lay the points.” — Hammerin’ Hank Goldberg on why the Cardinals are one of his best bets

A legendary Vegas handicapper, Goldberg is on an incredible run with his best bets dating back to last year, as he’s gone 35-19 ATS in his last 18 weeks of picks. See which other sides he loves this week over at SportsLine.

Steelers at Cowboys

Time: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS), stream on CBS All Access
Open: Steelers -13.5, O/U 41.5
Current: Steelers -14.5, O/U 42

Here’s the clear survivor pool play of the week if you still have the Steelers left in your bucket of teams to use. And it’s likely most people do, as the only time they’ve been favored by more than a touchdown game against the Eagles in Week 5, when they were still just 7.5-point favorites. There’s no reason to expect Dallas to have any success offensively, nor should we expect a bad Cowboys defense to slow down Ben Roethlisberger and Co. Other options include the Vikings if Matthew Stafford is out or the one-win Texans on the road against a sixth-round rookie QB (which certainly carries a fair amount of risk with that pick).

But don’t just take my advice. Head over to SportsLine to see which team the SportsLine Projection Model is going with in survivor pools. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It’s off to a strong 15-8 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season.

Saints at Buccaneers

Time: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Buccaneers -4.5, O/U 55
Current: Buccaneers -4.5, O/U 50.5

Speaking of the SportsLine model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, it ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Now it’s locked in a top-rated play in the Buccaneers-Saints matchup, with one side of the spread cashing in almost 60 percent of simulations.

I can tell you that the model is leaning Over, but if you want to see which side of the spread it loves for Sunday Night Football, head over to SportsLine to check out the pick.

Patriots at Jets

Time: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN), stream on fuboTV (Try for free)
Open: Patriots -7.5, O/U 41
Current: Patriots -8.5, O/U 42

SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh has been on fire with his picks since 2018, posting a 44-21 ATS record. He’s also been very successful picking games involving the Patriots, where he’s 15-6 ATS all-time.

The renowned co-founder of Accuscore is leaning Under in this matchup, but he has a strong play on one side of the spread for the game as well. You can see that pick by heading over to SportsLine.

Thanks for checking us out, and good luck with your picks!

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