UFC Vegas #13 Betting Prediction: Claudia Gadelha vs. Xiaonan Yan

Starting off the next UFC main event will be a fight to keep on your watchlist. This presents an excellent betting opportunity, as this fight will feature two awesome women’s strawweights in Claudia Gadelha and Yan Xiaonan.

Date: November 7, 9:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN 2

Betting Preview: Claudia Gadelha (18-4-0)

Gadelha is currently on a two-fight winning streak heading into this bout. Both of those victories have been won by decision, with the most recent one back in May.

Her fighting resume shows that she has two wins by knockout, seven by submission, and nine by decision. Even though she has nine wins by decision, she has eight victories finishing within the first round by a mix of knockouts and submissions.

“Claudinha” has a striking accuracy at 41% and a grappling accuracy at 45%. She lands 3.40 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 4.53. This ratio is on the negative side, but she somehow manages to finish out her fights.

Gadelha has a takedown defense at 58% and a significant strike defense at 57%. She also averages 3.13 takedowns and 0.70 submissions every 15 minutes.

Betting Preview: Yan Xiaonan (12-1-0)

Yan is currently on a ten fight winning streak coming into this matchup. Her most recent bout was a decision win back in February.

Her fighting resume shows that she has five wins by knockout and seven by decision. She also has four first-round finishes, all by some form of a knockout.

“Fury” has a striking accuracy at 42% and a grappling accuracy at 75%. She lands 6.72 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.88. This is an excellent ratio, as her striking volume is high compared to what she takes on.

Yan has a takedown defense at 70% and a significant strike defense at 63%. She also averages 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time.

Gadelha vs. Yan Betting Odds & Lines

The market has been moving slightly since the odds have been announced for this matchup. For the moneyline, Intertops has the odds currently placed at:

  • Gadelha: +125
  • Yan: -160

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both of these fighters have had some positives to their UFC bouts. They both stack up great on paper, but there are some noticeable differences.

Gadelha always finds a way to win her bouts somehow, even though she has a disadvantage when it comes to striking. In her losses since joining the UFC, every one of those bouts she had been out striked.

For this matchup, as long as Yan stays aggressive and consistent with her strikes, she could potentially land a TKO win here. Giving some benefit of the doubt to Gadelha, it most likely could result in a decision, but she would still end up losing.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Yan wins via decision, at -160

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