UFC Fight Island Breakdown and Betting Prediction: Ilia Topuria vs. Youssef Zalal

The main event on the next UFC promotion has a great first fight on the card. This featherweight battle will feature Youssef Zalal and Ilia Topuria.

Date: Saturday, October 10, 7:00 PM
Venue: Flash Forum
Watch on: ESPN+

Youssef Zalal (10-2-0)

Zalal is currently on a four fight win streak coming into this one. His fighting resume shows that he has 2 wins by knockout, 5 by submission, and 3 by decision.

“The Moroccan Devil” has a striking accuracy at 55 percent and a grappling accuracy at 47 percent. He lands 3.20 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 1.40. This is a great ratio, as he delivers more than twice as many significant strikes than he absorbs.

Zalal has a takedown defense at 72 percent and a significant strike defense at 66 percent. He also averages 3.00 takedowns and 1.70 submissions every 15 minutes.

Ilia Topuria (8-0-0)

Topuria will be making his UFC debut in this battle. His fighting resume shows that he has 1 win by knockout and 7 by submission.

Topuria is currently undefeated and putting his streak on the line with his debut. He is an excellent grappler and an even better submission artist.

He has solid wrestling skills with great timing that lead up into his submission victories. Even though he is mostly a tactical grappler, he has improved his striking ability with solid strikes and has potential to grow in that category.

Odds For This Event

The market is still adjusting to the odds for this one. BookMaker has the odds currently set at:

Zalal: -175

Topuria: +139

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

This will be a great matchup between two excellent ground fighters with ability to deliver solid stand up action. Does Topuria have a chance here to make a strong debut?

Topuria makes a solid case to win his first fight in the UFC. He will need to wear down Zalal, but he is arguably just as aggressive of a grappler as Topuria. Topuria will need to defend well against strikes here.

Zalal will win the standup battle but can he deliver on the ground, which is most likely where this fight is headed, is the question. He has a great significant strike ratio, so he will definitely show a positive striking performance here.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Zalal wins via decision

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