UFC Fight Island Breakdown and Betting Prediction: Edson Barbosa vs. Makwan Amirkhani

The next UFC event showcases a handful of excellent fights. One fight to watch on the main card is the co-main event between featherweights Edson Barbosa and Makwan Amirkhani.

Date: Saturday, October 10, 7:00 PM
Venue: Flash Forum
Watch on: ESPN+

Edson Barboza (20-9-0)

Barboza is currently ranked as the 14th best fighter in the featherweight division. His fighting resume shows that he has 12 wins by knockout, 1 by submission, and 7 by decision.

He has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 44 percent. He lands 4.08 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 4.22. This ratio is almost a 1 to 1, but should look to defend better here.

Barboza has a takedown defense at 80 percent and a significant strike defense at 59 percent. He also averages 0.46 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Makwan Amirkhani (16-4-0)

Amirkhani is coming off a submission victory back in July. His fighting resume shows that he has 1 win by knockout, 11 by submission, and 4 by decision.

“Mr. Finland” has a striking accuracy at 46 percent and a grappling accuracy at 36 percent. He lands 1.55 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.73. This ratio is on the negative side, as he takes on more strikes than he delivers.

Amirkhani has a takedown defense at 57 percent and a significant strike defense at 50 percent. He also averages 3.45 takedowns and 1.60 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has been consistent in their opinion so far. BetDSI has the odds currently placed at

Barboza: -244

Amirkhani: +199

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

Both of these fighters have put a lot of success into their resumes. This will be an interesting matchup since both fighters specialize in different fighting styles.

Amirkhani is great on the ground, as a majority of his wins have been by submission. However, if this fight stays standing he will ultimately suffer if he cannot defend or simply strike with the same aggressive tone as Barboza has.

Barboza has a decent takedown defense so he should be able to hold his own there. As long as he stays aggressive on his strikes, he should be able to wear down Amirkhani.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Barboza wins via TKO

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