UFC Fight Island Breakdown and Betting Prediction: Ben Rothwell vs. Marcin Tybura

The upcoming UFC event has more than a handful of exciting matchups. On the main card, you can catch heavyweights Ben Rothwell and Marcin Tybura.

Date: Saturday, October 10, 7:00 PM
Venue: Flash Forum
Watch on: ESPN+

Ben Rothwell (38-12-0)

Rothwell is currently on a two fight win streak heading into this one. His fighting resume shows that he has 28 wins by knockout, 6 by submission, and 4 by decision.

With a long list of wins, he has a striking accuracy at 43 percent and a grappling accuracy at 33 percent. He lands 3.37 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 4.44. This ratio is on the negative side, so he would need to defend better going forward.

Rothwell has a takedown defense at 69 percent and a significant strike defense at 46 percent. He also averages 0.68 takedowns and 0.30 submissions every 15 minutes.

Marcin Tybura (19-6-0)

Tybura is also on a two fight win streak heading into this one. His fighting resume shows that he has 7 wins by knockout, 6 by submission, and 6 by decision.

“Tybur” has a striking accuracy at 50 percent and a grappling accuracy at 48 percent. He lands 3.32 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.83. This is a solid ratio here, and has potential to be better.

Tybura has a takedown defense at 82 percent and a significant strike defense at 53 percent. He also averages 1.69 takedowns and 0.10 submissions every 15 minutes.

Odds For This Event

The market has this a little closer than some people realize. BookMaker has the odds currently set at:

Rothwell: -185

Tybura: +146

*odds are subject to changes

Potential Winning Pick

Both of these fighters present a great case for winning in this matchup, as they both appear to stack up well on paper. However, are their odds justified here?

Tybura has a solid resume all the way around. He can take this fight in any direction if he needs to, which makes him a dangerous opponent. He also has a better significant strike ratio which could benefit him.

Rothwell, however, will look to dominate on the striking end. He has an impressive 28 wins by knockout and that is not by accident. Look for him to add another knockout to his resume.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Rothwell wins via knockout

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