The next UFC event, UFC 255, looks to be another promising showcase of excellent fighters and betting opportunities. Looking at the co-main event, you will see both examples of this with the matchup between two women’s flyweights in Valentina Shevchenko and Jennifer Maia.
Date: Sat, Nov 21, 9:00 PM
Venue: UFC Apex
Watch on: PPV
Betting Preview: Valentina Shevchenko (19-3-0)
Shevchenko is currently on a five-fight winning streak. The women’s flyweight champion recently won against Katlyn Chookagian via TKO back in February of this year.
Her fighting resume shows that she has six wins by knockout, seven by submission, and six by decision. She has taken care of just about every fighter in the book except for Amanda Nunes, losing to her both times via decision.
“Bullet” has a striking accuracy at 50% and a grappling accuracy at 54%. She lands 3.06 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 2.12. This is a solid ratio and nothing too wild here.
Shevchenko has a takedown defense at 77% and a significant strike defense at 63%. She also averages 2.09 takedowns and 0.40 submissions every 15 minutes.
Betting Preview: Jennifer Maia (18-6-1)
Maia is coming into this fight after a submission victory against Joanne Calderwood back in August. She has won three out of her last five fights dating back to mid-2018, and that is also when she joined the UFC.
Her fighting resume shows four wins by knockout, five by submission, and nine by decision. Out of her 18 victories, she has six of them ending within the first round by both a combined effort of knockouts and submissions.
She has a striking accuracy at 39% and a grappling accuracy of 50%. She lands 4.08 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.92. This ratio is almost at 1:1, so she could look to defend better.
Maia has a takedown defense at 70% and a significant strike defense at 53%. She also averages 0.23 takedowns and 0.20 submissions every 15 minutes.
Shevchenko vs. Maia Betting Odds & Lines
The market has somewhat different opinions on how close this will be, but the favorite is still pretty clear. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently set at:
- Shevchenko: -1300
- Maia: +691
*odds are subject to changes
Free Betting Pick
Maia has an excellent opportunity here to make herself stand out in this division. Unfortunately, she is going up against one of the best fighters in the division, and it is almost looking like a long shot.
She has great hands and can move quickly, especially with her takedowns, but this fight will most likely be a great striking matchup. She also has some excellent striking defense and even a better takedown defense.
Shevchenko will need to have a very poor performance if Maia has a chance to win. Overall, that should not happen, and Shevchenko should be able to finish this fight inside the distance.
Spooky Express Free Pick: Shevchenko wins via TKO, at -1300
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