MLB Picks & Best Bets (Sep. 19): Brewers’ Burnes Makes Cy Young Case vs. Royals

Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes delivering a pitch

Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes takes his league-leading FIP into a Saturday matchup with the Royals, in which Milwaukee is the favorite. Photo via @MLBStats (Twitter).
  • The Brewers’ Corbin Burnes continues making his Cy Young case against the Royals on Saturday, Sept. 18
  • In his first start since tossing a no-hitter, Alec Mills and the Cubs face the Twins
  • See the early odds and picks for MLB’s Saturday slate (Sep. 19th)

Corbin Burnes hasn’t been in the Milwaukee Brewers’ rotation for the full season — but now that he’s there, he has put himself in solid position to compete for some serious hardware.

Burnes’ dominance on the mound this season makes him a top contender for the National League Cy Young award, and he can help bolster his case on Saturday, Sept. 19th, as Milwaukee faces the Kansas City Royals.

NB: The table below displays all Sep. 19th games open for betting as of 10:00 pm ET, Sep. 18th. It may not contain all games scheduled for Sep. 19th.

MLB Odds: Sep. 19th

Team (Starter) Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Toronto Blue Jays (TBD) -139 -1.5 (+115) Over 9.0 (+110) 6:10 pm
Philadelphia Phillies (V. Velasquez) +129 +1.5 (-135) Under 9.0 (-130)
Team (Starter) Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Washington Nationals (P. Corbin) -109 -1.5 (+150) Over 8.0 (+100) 6:10 pm
Miami Marlins (P. Lopez) -101 +1.5 (-170) Under 8.0 (-120)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Cleveland Indians (T. McKenzie) -167 -1.5 (-110) Over 8.5 (-105) 6:10 pm
Detroit Tigers (S. Turnbull) +154 +1.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-115)
Team (Starter) Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
St. Louis Cardinals (K. Hyun Kim) -173 -1.5 (-110) Over 8.5 (-104) 7:05 pm
Pittsburgh Pirates (M. Keller) +159 +1.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-116)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Kansas City Royals (K. Bubic) +192 +1.5 (-110) Over 8.5 (-112) 7:10 pm
Milwaukee Brewers (C. Burnes) -210 -1.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-108)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Arizona Diamondbacks (L. Weaver) +147 +1.5 (-135) Over 8.5 (-125) 7:10 pm
Houston Astros (C. Javier) -159 -1.5 (+115) Under 8.5 (+105)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
New York Mets (D. Peterson) +125 +1.5 (-135) Over 9.0 (+100) 7:15 pm
Atlanta Braves (I. Anderson) -135 -1.5 (+115) Under 9.0 (-120)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Tampa Bay Rays (C. Morton) -170 -1.5 (-115) Over 9.0 (-105) 7:35 pm
Baltimore Orioles (J. Lopez) +157 +1.5 (-105) Under 9.0 (-115)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) -272 -1.5 (-180) Over 11.5 (-115) 8:10 pm
Colorado Rockies (C.C. Gonzalez) +242 +1.5 (+160) Under 11.5 (-105)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Minnesota Twins (M. Pineda) -133 TBD (TBD) Over TBD (TBD) 8:15 pm
Chicago Cubs (A. Mills) +123 TBD (TBD) Under TBD (TBD)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
Texas Rangers (L. Lynn) +149 +1.5 (-145) Over 7.5 (-105) 9:10 pm
LA Angels (A. Heaney) -162 -1.5 (+125) Under 7.5 (-115)
Team Moneyline Runline Over/Under Run Total Game Time (Eastern)
San Diego Padres (M. Clevinger) -185 -1.5 (-115) Over 8.0 (-105) 9:10 pm
Seattle Mariners (J. Sheffield) +170 +1.5 (-105) Under 8.0 (-115)

Odds as of Sept. 18th.

Pick 1: Brewers Moneyline (-210) vs Royals

Reasoning: It’s best to bet on Corbin Burnes.

He might not end up with enough innings to win over voters, but Brewers starter Corbin Burnes is doing just about everything he can to compete for the NL Cy Young award. And bettors should take note when he’s on the mound.

Burnes (3-0, 1.98 ERA) leads the NL in FIP, hits per 9, and strikeouts per 9. The light-hitting Royals (22nd in team OPS) haven’t seen him yet — and they surely won’t like what they see.

2020 MLB MVP Odds Tracker

Pick 2: Cubs Moneyline (+123) vs Twins

Reasoning: Mills, Cubs are on a roll lately.

Cubs starter Alec Mills was unhittable in his last start. That is not hyperbole.

Mills tossed the second no-hitter of the MLB season on Sunday in a 12-0 win over the Brewers. He has now won back-to-back starts, allowing four hits and no runs in 15 innings.

Chicago and Minnesota haven’t faced each other since 2018 (until Thursday night), but the Cubs had won the past five meetings heading into this series, for what it’s worth. The Cubs have also won their past four games this season.

A two-team parlay on the Brewers and Cubs at -210 and +123, respectively, would pay out at +229.

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