The Michigan State Spartans (10-9 overall, 4-9 Big Ten) visit the Indiana Hoosiers (12-9, 7-7) Saturday afternoon. Tip-off for the conference showdown is scheduled for noon ET at Simon Skojdt Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Ind. Below, we analyze the Michigan State-Indiana college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The Hoosiers sit in eighth place in the Big Ten, while the Spartans are 11th.
Neither team is ranked in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Five Big Ten teams are ranked, led by No. 3 Michigan and No. 4 Ohio State, who meet in Columbus, Ohio, Sunday afternoon.
Michigan State at Indiana: Odds, spread and lines
Money line: Michigan State +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Indiana -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Michigan State +6.5 (-120) | Indiana -6.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Michigan State at Indiana: Three things to know
Michigan State enters on a two-game skid, recently falling at Purdue 75-65 Tuesday and failing to cover the spread as a 5.5-point underdog Tuesday. It was the Spartans’ fourth consecutive game not covering the spread, but they went 2-2 straight-up. Junior F Aaron Henry leads MSU in scoring (14.3 points per game), assists (3.5 APG), steals (1.3 SPG) and blocks (1.3 BPG), while junior F Joey Hauser is the club’s top rebounder (6.6 RPG).
Indiana rebounded from an ugly 78-59 loss at Ohio State with an 82-72 home victory vs. Minnesota Wednesday. Sophomore F Trayce Jackson-Davis’ 20 points and 10 rebounds led the Hoosiers, who covered as 7-point favorites. Jackson-Davis is third in the Big Ten at 19.6 PPG, and also averages 9.4 RPG and 1.5 BPG – all team-highs..
This is the season’s first meeting between the rivals. They were originally supposed to play Jan. 17 at Michigan State, but the game was postponed due to COVID-19 issues within the MSU program. That contest is now slated for March 2.
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Michigan State at Indiana: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Indiana 68, Michigan State 64
Money line (ML)
PASS. Michigan State is awful, and Indiana’s -275 ML price is too chalky.
Against the spread (ATS)
MICHIGAN STATE +6.5 (-120) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Spartans are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games, but the Hoosiers struggle in playing well in back-to-back conference games. Indiana is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four contests following a straight-up win.
The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last four of this series.
ATS: Michigan State 4-15 | Indiana 12-8-1
Back the UNDER 134.5 (-105) with a HALF-UNIT bet. First off, neither team shoots the ball very well.
The Spartans own a 42.2% field-goal percentage and connect on only 32.9% of its 3-point attempts. They are at least decent from the foul line at 73.4%.
Indiana hits 44.9% of its field goals, 35.3% of its 3’s and are a miserable 66.5% from the foul line.
Secondly, Michigan State averaged 62.3 PPG in its last four outings and is 2-7 in its last nine games.
O/U records: Michigan State 8-11 | Indiana 11-9-1
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|Johnny’s CBK record since Jan. 1 / SP||53-39-1 / 24-22|
|CBK ROI since Jan. 1||+10.3|
|2020-21 CBK record / SP / ROI||68-56-1 / 29-32 / +3.575|
|2021 record (all sports) / SP / ROI||68-48-1 / 34-24 / +21.6|
|*-SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment|
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