L.A. Rams Rise in Oddsboards After Acquiring Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford With Rams Background

  • The Rams have moved up the odds board after acquiring QB Matthew Stafford,
  • Los Angeles traded QB Jared Goff and several draft picks to Detroit on Saturday night.
  • The trade is the first between two former no. 1 picks since 1967.

The Los Angeles Rams and Detroit Lions made history on Saturday night as the two NFL teams agreed to the first ever trade between former no. 1 picks in the common draft era, or 1967.

Los Angeles dealt 2016 top pick Jared Goff and multiple draft picks to the Detroit Lions for Matthew Stafford, who was the number one overall pick in the 2009 NFL Draft. Aside from Goff, Detroit will receive a third round pick in 2021, a first rounder in 2022 and 2023.

The trade was the first big move from Lions GM Brad Holmes who was hired earlier this month. Interestingly, Holmes was the director for college scouting of the Rams before getting hired by Detroit. More interestingly, it wa Holmes who orchestrated the Rams move up from no. 15 to number 1 in 2016. The Rams picked Jared Goff in the at draft.

Stafford leaves the Lions as the team’s all-time leader in every passing category. He ranks 16th all-time in the NFL passing record books with 45,109. Stafford is also 16th in passing TDs with 282, 18th in pass attempts at 6,224, and no. 14 in completions at 3,898. His passer rating of 89.9 is also 21st best of all-time.

How the Odds Have Reacted

With the trade, the Rams moved up the 2022 Super Bowl odds board. The best NFL betting sites had Los Angeles outside the Top 5 in the list of favorites. BetMGM opened the Rams at +2000 while the Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill had them at +1800. Over at PointsBet, the Rams opened at +2000 but have seen their odds shorten to +1400 with the trade. The same online sportsbook also saw the Rams’ chances to win the NFC from +900 to +700.

Meanwhile, DraftKings had the Rams moved to a tie for the third shortest odds following the news. DraftKings has Los Angeles locked up with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +1100 with only the Kansas City Chiefs (+575) and the Green Bay Packers (+900) having shorter odds.

As for the Lions, they are currently listed at +800 at PointsBet, which is tied with the Houston Texans for the third largest odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy during the 2021 season. On the other hand, Detroit and Houston are tied for the worst odds to win Super Bowl LVI at +10000 at DraftKings.

Why the Rams Have Risen in the Oddsboard?

Looking at the obvious, the Rams mortgaged their future to get their hands on the 33-year old Stafford. So Los Angeles won’t have a first round pick until 2024, but they have built the team they have right now without drafting a player in the first round since 2016 when they picked well, Jared Goff.

This trade wasn’t about rebuilding for the future. This was a move to contend for the Super Bowl next season. This year, the Rams reached the postseason despite Goff playing very inconsistent football and Los Angeles suffering a loss to the then 0-13 New York Jets. Imagine having Stafford’s throwing arm paired with a pair of 1,000 yard receivers in Robert Woods and Copper Kupp. The Rams have depth in all skill positions. Stafford should further diversify the offense.

Sure, Stafford still need to prove that he can win the big games with better players around him. But it’s hard to think of him failing in a Los Angeles team that has found success despite Jared Goff’s incredible inconsistency. Given the sad state of the NFC East, Drew Brees’ expected retirement, and Tom Brady turning 44 years old, there was no way the oddsmakers didn’t consider the Rams to be one of the NFC’s frontrunners to reach Super Bowl LVI and go all the way.

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