Cardinal Rule: first place Arizona slight road dogs at Seattle

Featured in this article:

  • Seahawks have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
  • Arizona is 4-1 SU in their last five games.
  • The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five games when playing Arizona in Seattle.

It’s being referred to as the Hail Murray! Kyler Murray’s last-second heave into the Cardinals end zone was hauled in by DeAndre Hopkins to culminate a thrilling 32-30 comeback win over the Bills. While moneyline bettors were thrilled, those who took Arizona -3 were cursing the team’s decision to take a knee on the extra point to avoid it being blocked and returned for a game-tying two points. It’s one of the most painful bad beats of the year. Arizona improved to 6-3 straight up and fell to 5-4 against the spread this season.

The Seahawks lost for the third time in four games after Russell Wilson’s latest lackluster performance, which saw him cough up the football three times. Seattle’s 23-16 loss to the Rams dropped them to 6-3 overall and 5-4 against the spread after failing to cover +3 in Los Angeles. Most consequential, Pete Carroll’s crew are now third in the NFC West standings, part of a three-way tie for first at 6-3, after losing to both the Cardinals and Rams this season.

Week 11: Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks Game Info
Date: November 19, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Stadium: CenturyLink Stadium
TV Coverage: FOX
Opening Odds: Seahawks -5.5 | O/U 56.5
How to Bet: Best Online Sportsbook Reviews

Line Movement

Seattle opened as 5.5-point home favorites, but the line has since moved to Seahawks -3; the common homefield advantage spread for two evenly matched teams. The Cardinals moneyline opened at +200 (or 2-to-1), but has since risen to around +150 at most sportsbooks. The point total opened at 56.5, but ticked up to a defense-is-optional 58.5. The total has gone OVER in seven of the Seahawks last nine games. The UNDER has hit or pushed in all four Cardinals road games this season.

In their first meeting this season, an overtime victory for Arizona, the Cardinals and Seahawks combined for 71 points.

As a rookie, Kyler Murray went into Seattle, covered the +8, hit the moneyline and Arizona upset the Seahawks 27-13 last December.

Cardinals News and Notes

Height ain’t nothing but a number and yet it haunted Kyler Murray throughout the Draft process two years ago. At 5-foot-10-inches, NFL gurus felt the need to opine that Murray being vertically challenged would hurt his ability to become a franchise quarterback. Granted, it’s still early, but Murray’s arm and mobility have propelled Arizona to the top of the NFC West two years removed from a 3-13 campaign.

One of my favorite tidbits coming out of the win over the Bills was this from the Associated Press recap. Murray has run for at least one touchdown in five consecutive games, the first quarterback to achieve the feat since 1956.

Arizona’s offense ranks fourth in yards per play, seventh in points per game, 13th in passing yards and first in rushing yards per game, paced by the two-headed option of Kenyan Drake (76.5 RYPG) and Murray (67.1 RYPG).

However, their defense has shown cracks of weakness over the past three games that Wilson – who to his credit passed for 388 yards and 3 touchdowns against Arizona in the first meeting – can exploit once again. The problem in that matchup was Wilson’s three interceptions. The third one handed the Cardinals a short field with a little more than 60 seconds remaining in overtime. If not for that, the game either ends in a tie or Seahawks win on their own game-winning field goal. Al Pacino’s game of inches speech in Any Given Sunday is so true.

Seahawks News and Notes

The mandate from social media pundits, national writers and Monday morning quarterbacks was simple: “Let Russ Cook!” In other words, stop running the ball 30 times per game – as they did a season ago – and let Russell Wilson air things out or tuck it and run when the play breaks down. Through the first five games, that looked like a great, MVP-worthy approach. Wilson tossed 19 touchdowns with only three interceptions during the Seahawks 5-game winning streak to start the season, while chipping in 158 rush yards. However, in the four game since, Seattle is 1-3 and Wilson has turned the ball over 10 times in those three losses. With that script-flipped, Seattle’s Achilles’ heel, its defense, has been exploited to death. Wilson wasn’t able to stitch together wins in spite of the Legion of Gloom, he was contributing to the recent woes.

Through nine games, Seattle’s defense has allowed:

  • 29.6 points per game (fifth-most)
  • 6.1 yards per play (fourth-most)
  • 353 pass yards per game (most in the NFL)
  • Opposing offenses to convert 49.2 percent of their third downs (third-highest)
  • Opposing offenses to reach the red zone 4.1 times per game (second-most)
  • Their scoring margin to dip below 3.0 during their recent skid (+2.7 scoring margin to-date)

Some great news is that running back Chris Carson is expected to return from injury. He’s averaging 4.9 yards per rush this season and has kept opposing linebackers honest, which has opened up the passing game for Wilson. There’s also hope that Carlos Hyde will be active, too, after missing the Rams game. The more horses in the backfield, the better the chance Wilson and Seattle bounce back.

Betting Pick: Seahawks -3

This is a get-right game for Wilson and Seattle. Carroll has pulled rabbits out of his hat in the past and this week will be no different.

Check out our expert NFL betting guide if you want to learn more about How to Bet on Week 11 of the NFL or head right to our favorite online sportsbook review page and find the right site for you!

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